Greyhound Handicapping at Palm Beach on Sunday
I'm hoping to start off the Palm Beach Kennel Club's Sunday matinee with a longshot in the 2nd race. Take a look at #2, Craigie Tralee. This greyhound isn't the fastest. As a matter of fact, Craigie Tralee is the second slowest in the field. But this greyhound has a great post record on the Stat Attack, winning 3 out of 4 starts from the 1/2/3 area. Craigie Tralee also has a break advantage over the #1 runner, and the best acceleration to the turn. I'll need good odds here, though. If this dog doesn't give me near 3-1 or better, then it's not a good play.
Midtrack boxes are always a tough place to win from. But I'm backing #5, Sl Slickster, in the 4th race. This greyhound has the best times on the Stat Attack, and shows a benefit as a midtrack runner when #3 and #4 both go strongly to the rail. Sl Slickster also has a break advantage over the #6 and #7, so this runner should be clear early in the race.
Sunday's 6th race is a very interesting handicap. The two obvious contenders are #8, Razor Sharp, and #1, Wtd Maribel. I'm thinking the crowd will make the #8 dog the favorite. So I'll want the other one! While #8 has the best time averages and a good post record, the #1 box sends about 50% more greyhounds into the winner's circle. And benefits as a rail runner when #2 and #3 go midtrack. Given that plus higher odds on Wtd Maribel, that's my choice in this race. How do you see it?
Today's 10th race is a weird opportunity based on post bias. This is a shorty race, 3/16ths of a mile. On this course, the #1 box rules the roost, sending off a winner over 34% of the time. This is about the strongest bias I've ever seen on the Stat Force sheet! Thus my selection of #1, Delta Down, as my key. The greyhound with the fastest time average is #7. But the #7 box is the worst in the field, winning only 3% of all races! So given dogs of equal talent, the #1 should win about 11 times more often than #7. I like those odds!
I'm looking for a value play in the 12th race today, a grade A event. I'm thinking the crowd is going to like #1 and #2, but I'm going to key #3, Jump Scotch. My greyhound has a break advantage over #1 and #2, and the #3 box has been hot, winning over 16% of starts in grade A. Also, Jump Scotch has a great post record, winning 7 times in 19 starts from the 2/3/4 area. Given that I like this runner and the odds should be higher, that makes Jump Scotch the value play in the 12th.
That's how I'll play them on Sunday's matinee card at the Palm Beach Kennel Club in Florida. Premium Members should take a minute to download their free Stat Attack and Stat Force sheets and have a go at handicapping this performance.